Wanderers vs Central Espanol: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 4Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera, Montevideo
The Footlab model makes Central Espanol the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wanderers vs Central Espanol?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Wanderers (1,714) and Central Espanol (1,719).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wanderers have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Central Espanol have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Atletico Torque(away) | 1-5 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cerro Largo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Penarol(away) | 1-5 | Primera División |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Atletico Torque(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Juventud(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Penarol(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Progreso(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Cerro Largo(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Wanderers win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Central Espanol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Central Espanol 0-1 Wanderers | Primera División |
| Mar 16, 2013 | Central Espanol 0-1 Wanderers | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Wanderers 0-0 Central Espanol | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Central Espanol vs Wanderers on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wanderers score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Central Espanol score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wanderers | 1.3 | 1.4 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Central Espanol | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wanderers sit 10th in Primera División (20 points from 15 matches) and Central Espanol sit 5th (24 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Wanderers | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 31 | 39 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 24 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Central Espanol | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 36 |
| 8 | Central Espanol | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 36 |
| 9 | Wanderers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 20 |
| 11 | Central Espanol | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 62 | 17 | 19 | 26 | 56 | 78 | 70 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wanderers vs Central Espanol?
- The Footlab model makes Central Espanol the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Wanderers.
- Where and when is Wanderers vs Central Espanol played?
- Wanderers vs Central Espanol is played on August 28, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.