Progreso vs Danubio: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónClausura - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Danubio?
Progreso won 1-0 on August 29, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 90′N. LópezProgreso
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Danubio win at 39%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Progreso vs Danubio
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Progreso
4-2-3-1- 8M. Juambeltz
- 7A. Ocampo
- 10N. López
- 17F. de León
- 25R. Cristóbal
- 5A. Pinheiro
- 40A. Cougo
- 13H. Carroso
- 15M. Martin
- 24E. Álvarez
- 1R. Bacchia
Danubio
4-2-3-1- 9H. Silveira
- 20M. Ferreira
- 30S. Fernández
- 77B. Tomatis
- 10M. Peralta
- 16I. Rossi
- 31T. Cavanagh
- 19M. Brasil
- 2E. Velázquez
- 28E. Femia
- 1M. Goicoechea
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 3 wins, 0 draws and 12 defeats; Danubio have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | CA River Plate(home) | 0-2 | Copa Uruguay |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Club Nacional(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Central Espanol(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Club Nacional(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Atenas(home) | 3-2 | Copa Uruguay |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Boston River(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cerro(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Albion FC(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Progreso wins, 3 draws, 1 Danubio win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Danubio 1-2 Progreso | Primera División |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Danubio 2-2 Progreso | Primera División |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Progreso 1-0 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 31, 2025 | Progreso 0-1 Danubio | Primera División |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Danubio 1-1 Progreso | Primera División |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Progreso 0-0 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 0.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Danubio score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Danubio | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 8th in Primera División (16 points from 11 matches) and Danubio sit 12th (10 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Progreso | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 16 |
| 12 | Danubio | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 10 |
A question about Progreso vs Danubio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy