Racing Montevideo vs Albion FC: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Parque Osvaldo Roberto, Montevideo
The Footlab model makes Racing Montevideo the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for Albion FC. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Montevideo vs Albion FC?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Racing Montevideo (1,820) and Albion FC (1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Montevideo have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Albion FC have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Danubio(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Club Nacional(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Boston River(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Cerro(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Boston River(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cerro(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Danubio(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Juventud(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Racing Montevideo win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Albion FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Albion FC 1-3 Racing Montevideo | Primera División |
| Nov 9, 2021 | Racing Montevideo 1-1 Albion FC | Segunda División |
| Jul 28, 2021 | Albion FC 0-0 Racing Montevideo | Segunda División |
| Nov 10, 2020 | Albion FC 1-2 Racing Montevideo | Segunda División |
| Sep 15, 2020 | Racing Montevideo 1-1 Albion FC | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Albion FC vs Racing Montevideo on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Montevideo score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Albion FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Montevideo | 0.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Albion FC | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Montevideo sit 1st in Primera División (31 points from 15 matches) and Albion FC sit 3rd (28 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 25 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 31 | 19 | 46 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 28 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 62 | 26 | 21 | 15 | 70 | 57 | 99 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 9 | Albion FC | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35 | 30 | 34 |
| 10 | Albion FC | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35 | 30 | 34 |
| 14 | Albion FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Montevideo vs Albion FC?
- The Footlab model makes Racing Montevideo the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for Albion FC.
- Where and when is Racing Montevideo vs Albion FC played?
- Racing Montevideo vs Albion FC is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Parque Osvaldo Roberto, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.