FC Gifu vs Sagamihara: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Nagaragawa Stadium, Gifu
The Footlab model makes FC Gifu the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Sagamihara. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Gifu vs Sagamihara?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate FC Gifu (1,737) and Sagamihara (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Gifu have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Sagamihara have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kagoshima United(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Toyama Shinjo(home) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kochi United(home) | 7-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Biwako Shiga(away) | 3-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(home) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kanazawa(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(away) | 4-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 3-0 | J2/J3 League |
| May 30, 2026 | Fujieda MYFC(home) | 4-3 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Gifu win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Sagamihara win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Sagamihara 0-5 FC Gifu | J3 League |
| Jul 6, 2025 | FC Gifu 1-1 Sagamihara | J3 League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | FC Gifu 1-2 Sagamihara | J3 League |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Sagamihara 1-1 FC Gifu | J3 League |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Sagamihara 1-1 FC Gifu | J3 League |
| Jun 18, 2023 | FC Gifu 2-1 Sagamihara | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Sagamihara vs FC Gifu on Sep 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
FC Gifu score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sagamihara score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Gifu | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Sagamihara | 1.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Gifu sit 1st in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Sagamihara sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Gifu | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Sagamihara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Gifu vs Sagamihara?
- The Footlab model makes FC Gifu the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Sagamihara.
- Where and when is FC Gifu vs Sagamihara played?
- FC Gifu vs Sagamihara is played on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Nagaragawa Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 21, 2026Matsumoto YamagavsThespakusatsu Gunma
- Oct 21, 2026Roasso KumamotovsGainare Tottori
- Oct 21, 2026Tochigi SCvsBiwako Shiga
- Oct 21, 2026Kamatamare SanukivsKanazawa
- Oct 21, 2026Ehime FCvsRenofa Yamaguchi
- Oct 21, 2026Kagoshima UnitedvsKochi United
- Oct 21, 2026Fukushima UnitedvsKitakyushu
- Oct 21, 2026Parceiro NaganovsFC Ryukyu