Match

Parceiro Nagano vs FC Ryukyu: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, Nagano

Parceiro NaganoFC Ryukyu

The Footlab model makes FC Ryukyu the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Parceiro Nagano. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Parceiro Nagano vs FC Ryukyu?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Parceiro Nagano (1,595) and FC Ryukyu (1,599).

Parceiro Nagano win34 %
Draw28 %
FC Ryukyu win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parceiro Nagano have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; FC Ryukyu have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Parceiro Nagano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(away)1-0J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Fukui United(home)2-1Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Osaka(away)2-4J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(home)1-0J3 League
Jun 5, 2026Kamatamare Sanuki(away)0-0J2/J3 League
FC Ryukyu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Osaka(away)2-2J3 League
Aug 15, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(away)0-1J3 League
Jul 17, 2026Urawa(home)5-4Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026Fukushima United(away)1-1J2/J3 League
May 31, 2026Imabari(away)2-1J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Parceiro Nagano win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 FC Ryukyu win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 26, 2025FC Ryukyu 2-0 Parceiro NaganoJ3 League
Apr 13, 2025Parceiro Nagano 1-1 FC RyukyuJ3 League
Oct 19, 2024Parceiro Nagano 1-1 FC RyukyuJ3 League
Apr 14, 2024FC Ryukyu 4-3 Parceiro NaganoJ3 League
Sep 30, 2023FC Ryukyu 2-2 Parceiro NaganoJ3 League
Jun 11, 2023Parceiro Nagano 1-2 FC RyukyuJ3 League

Last archived meeting: FC Ryukyu vs Parceiro Nagano on Jul 26, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Parceiro Nagano score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Ryukyu score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Parceiro Nagano0.91.176/155/15
FC Ryukyu1.11.528/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Parceiro Nagano sit 5th in J3 League (6 points from 3 matches) and FC Ryukyu sit 18th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Parceiro Nagano3201446
18FC Ryukyu2011231

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Parceiro Nagano vs FC Ryukyu?
The Footlab model makes FC Ryukyu the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Parceiro Nagano.
Where and when is Parceiro Nagano vs FC Ryukyu played?
Parceiro Nagano vs FC Ryukyu is played on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Parceiro Nagano and FC Ryukyu

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