Parceiro Nagano vs FC Ryukyu: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, Nagano
The Footlab model makes FC Ryukyu the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Parceiro Nagano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Parceiro Nagano vs FC Ryukyu?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Parceiro Nagano (1,595) and FC Ryukyu (1,599).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parceiro Nagano have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; FC Ryukyu have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(away) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Fukui United(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Osaka(away) | 2-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(away) | 0-0 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Osaka(away) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Urawa(home) | 5-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Fukushima United(away) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
| May 31, 2026 | Imabari(away) | 2-1 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Parceiro Nagano win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 FC Ryukyu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2025 | FC Ryukyu 2-0 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Parceiro Nagano 1-1 FC Ryukyu | J3 League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Parceiro Nagano 1-1 FC Ryukyu | J3 League |
| Apr 14, 2024 | FC Ryukyu 4-3 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Sep 30, 2023 | FC Ryukyu 2-2 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Jun 11, 2023 | Parceiro Nagano 1-2 FC Ryukyu | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: FC Ryukyu vs Parceiro Nagano on Jul 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Parceiro Nagano score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Ryukyu score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parceiro Nagano | 0.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| FC Ryukyu | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Parceiro Nagano sit 5th in J3 League (6 points from 3 matches) and FC Ryukyu sit 18th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Parceiro Nagano | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 18 | FC Ryukyu | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Parceiro Nagano vs FC Ryukyu?
- The Footlab model makes FC Ryukyu the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Parceiro Nagano.
- Where and when is Parceiro Nagano vs FC Ryukyu played?
- Parceiro Nagano vs FC Ryukyu is played on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 21, 2026FC GifuvsSagamihara
- Oct 21, 2026Matsumoto YamagavsThespakusatsu Gunma
- Oct 21, 2026Roasso KumamotovsGainare Tottori
- Oct 21, 2026Tochigi SCvsBiwako Shiga
- Oct 21, 2026Kamatamare SanukivsKanazawa
- Oct 21, 2026Ehime FCvsRenofa Yamaguchi
- Oct 21, 2026Kagoshima UnitedvsKochi United
- Oct 21, 2026Fukushima UnitedvsKitakyushu