Where and when is Fukushima United vs Kitakyushu played?

Fukushima United vs Kitakyushu is played on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at TOHO Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Fukushima United vs Kitakyushu: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)TOHO Stadium, Fukushima

Fukushima United

Kitakyushu

The Footlab model makes Fukushima United the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Kitakyushu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fukushima United vs Kitakyushu?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Fukushima United (1,671) and Kitakyushu (1,618).

Fukushima United win47 %

Draw24 %

Kitakyushu win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fukushima United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Kitakyushu have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fukushima United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Gainare Tottori(away)	1-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Oyama(home)	7-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Kanazawa(away)	3-4	J3 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(home)	1-2	J3 League
Jun 7, 2026	FC Ryukyu(home)	1-1	J2/J3 League

Kitakyushu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Tochigi SC(away)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Okinawa SV(home)	1-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(home)	0-0	J3 League
Jul 18, 2026	Yokohama FC(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Tochigi SC(away)	1-2	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Fukushima United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kitakyushu win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 9, 2025	Kitakyushu 1-2 Fukushima United	J3 League
Apr 12, 2025	Fukushima United 1-0 Kitakyushu	J3 League
Aug 31, 2024	Fukushima United 1-0 Kitakyushu	J3 League
Jun 29, 2024	Kitakyushu 2-1 Fukushima United	J3 League
Nov 26, 2023	Kitakyushu 1-2 Fukushima United	J3 League
Jul 22, 2023	Fukushima United 1-1 Kitakyushu	J3 League

Last archived meeting: Kitakyushu vs Fukushima United on Nov 9, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Fukushima United score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kitakyushu score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Fukushima United	1.9	1.8	2	11/15	11/15
Kitakyushu	1.1	1.9	2	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fukushima United sit 19th in J3 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Kitakyushu sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Kitakyushu	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
19	Fukushima United	3	0	0	3	5	8	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fukushima United vs Kitakyushu?: The Footlab model makes Fukushima United the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Kitakyushu.
Where and when is Fukushima United vs Kitakyushu played?: Fukushima United vs Kitakyushu is played on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at TOHO Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.