Where and when is Slivnishki geroy vs Kostinbrod played?

Slivnishki geroy vs Kostinbrod is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Slivnishki geroy vs Kostinbrod: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Slivnitsa

Slivnishki geroy

Kostinbrod

The Footlab model makes Slivnishki geroy the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Kostinbrod. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Slivnishki geroy vs Kostinbrod?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Slivnishki geroy (1,420) and Kostinbrod (1,437).

Slivnishki geroy win57 %

Draw25 %

Kostinbrod win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slivnishki geroy have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kostinbrod have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Slivnishki geroy
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Levski Sofia II(home)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Slavia Sofia II(away)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Botev Ihtiman(home)	2-3	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Kyustendil(away)	1-2	Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026	Slavia Sofia II(home)	0-3	Third League - Southwest

Kostinbrod
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Slavia Sofia II(home)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Botev Ihtiman(away)	0-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Kyustendil(home)	3-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Septemvri Simitli(away)	0-2	Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(away)	0-1	Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Slivnishki geroy win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Kostinbrod win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Kostinbrod 1-1 Slivnishki geroy	Third League - Southwest
Oct 25, 2025	Slivnishki geroy 0-2 Kostinbrod	Third League - Southwest
May 8, 2024	Kostinbrod 0-2 Slivnishki geroy	Third League - Southwest
Oct 21, 2023	Slivnishki geroy 2-2 Kostinbrod	Third League - Southwest
May 27, 2023	Kostinbrod 3-2 Slivnishki geroy	Third League - Southwest
Apr 22, 2023	Slivnishki geroy 1-1 Kostinbrod	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Kostinbrod vs Slivnishki geroy on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Slivnishki geroy score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kostinbrod score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Slivnishki geroy	1.5	1.2	5	8/15	10/15
Kostinbrod	0.9	1.3	4	5/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Slivnishki geroy sit 8th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and Kostinbrod sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Slivnishki geroy	4	2	0	2	6	6	6
10	Kostinbrod	4	2	0	2	4	4	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Slivnishki geroy vs Kostinbrod?: The Footlab model makes Slivnishki geroy the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Kostinbrod.
Where and when is Slivnishki geroy vs Kostinbrod played?: Slivnishki geroy vs Kostinbrod is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.