Estrella vs Tenerife C: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Palmitas, Gran Canaria
The Footlab AI model makes Estrella the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Tenerife C. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estrella wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estrella vs Tenerife C?
On Elo ratings, Estrella has 1,629 points and Tenerife C 1,783.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estrella vs Tenerife C
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estrella
4-3-3- AAdrián Socorro
- MMarco
- AAlejo
- KKevin Suárez
- VVictor Jesús Lorenzo Lorenzo
- FFede Manzi
- JJaime
- FFran Ramírez
- IIan Bolaños Gracia
- AAythami Artiles Oliva
- AArturo Caballero
Tenerife C
Not enough data to predict the Tenerife C lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 11:37 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrella have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Tenerife C have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Marino(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Los Llanos(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UD San Fernando(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Las Palmas III(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | San Bartolomé(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | San Bartolomé(away) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Villaverde Norte(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Anaza(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrella score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tenerife C score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrella | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Tenerife C | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estrella sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (7 points from 5 matches) and Tenerife C sit 5th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tenerife C | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrella | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Estrella vs Tenerife C?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estrella vs Tenerife C?
- The Footlab AI model makes Estrella the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Tenerife C.
- Where and when is Estrella vs Tenerife C played?
- Estrella vs Tenerife C is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Palmitas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 2, 2027LanzarotevsMensajero
- May 2, 2027MarinovsLas Palmas III
- May 2, 2027Villa Santa BrígidavsPanadería Pulido
- May 2, 2027Unión Sur YaizavsAnaza
- May 2, 2027Real Unión de TenerifevsSan Bartolomé
- May 2, 2027Laguna de DuerovsVillaverde Norte
- May 2, 2027Los LlanosvsSan Fernando CD
- May 2, 2027Playas SotaventovsSan Miguel