Real Unión de Tenerife vs San Bartolomé: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Real Unión de Tenerife the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for San Bartolomé. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Unión de Tenerife vs San Bartolomé?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Real Unión de Tenerife (1,756) and San Bartolomé (1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Unión de Tenerife have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; San Bartolomé have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Lanzarote(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | Tamaraceite(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Herbania(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Las Palmas III(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Tenerife C(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | Lanzarote(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Arucas(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Real Unión de Tenerife win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 San Bartolomé win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife 4-2 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | San Bartolomé 1-0 Real Unión de Tenerife | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Real Unión de Tenerife vs San Bartolomé on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Unión de Tenerife score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; San Bartolomé score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Unión de Tenerife | 1.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| San Bartolomé | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Unión de Tenerife sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (45 points from 34 matches) and San Bartolomé sit 14th (36 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Real Unión de Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 32 | 45 |
| 14 | San Bartolomé | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30 | 55 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Unión de Tenerife vs San Bartolomé?
- The Footlab model makes Real Unión de Tenerife the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for San Bartolomé.
- Where and when is Real Unión de Tenerife vs San Bartolomé played?
- Real Unión de Tenerife vs San Bartolomé is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.