Where and when is Marino vs Las Palmas III played?

Marino vs Las Palmas III is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Marino vs Las Palmas III: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, Los Cristianos (Tenerife)

Marino

Las Palmas III

The Footlab model makes Marino the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Las Palmas III. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marino vs Las Palmas III?

Las Palmas III starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,819 vs 1,709).

Marino win38 %

Draw29 %

Las Palmas III win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marino have 0 wins, 10 draws and 5 defeats; Las Palmas III have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marino
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 26, 2026	Tenerife(home)	0-6	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Arucas(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 1, 2026	Villa Santa Brígida(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2026	Unión Sur Yaiza(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026	San Miguel(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Las Palmas III
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	San Miguel(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	Atlético Paso(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026	Tenisca(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 22, 2026	Panadería Pulido(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026	Real Unión de Tenerife(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Marino win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Las Palmas III win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 7, 2026	Las Palmas III 1-1 Marino	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 26, 2025	Marino 0-1 Las Palmas III	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Feb 26, 2022	Las Palmas III 2-1 Marino	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 16, 2021	Marino 2-0 Las Palmas III	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Jan 5, 2020	Marino 2-1 Las Palmas III	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Las Palmas III vs Marino on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Marino score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas III score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Marino	0.7	1.5	3	8/15	5/15
Las Palmas III	1.3	1.1	4	8/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Marino sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (39 points from 34 matches) and Las Palmas III sit 6th (54 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Las Palmas III	34	15	9	10	58	42	54
12	Marino	34	8	15	11	44	40	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marino vs Las Palmas III?: The Footlab model makes Marino the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Las Palmas III.
Where and when is Marino vs Las Palmas III played?: Marino vs Las Palmas III is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.