Marino vs Las Palmas III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, Los Cristianos (Tenerife)
The Footlab AI model makes Marino the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Las Palmas III. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marino wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marino vs Las Palmas III?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Marino (1,703) and Las Palmas III (1,800).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marino vs Las Palmas III
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marino
Not enough data to predict the Marino lineup.
Las Palmas III
4-3-3- VVíctor José Socorro Quintana
- HHéctor David Castillo Martín
- AAbian Santos Vergara
- SSamuel Antonio Ramos Linares
- GGabriel Felipe Arrocha
- JJosé Ángel
- IIan Bolaños Gracia
- BBrian
- UUssama Ahmed Ouzzani
- ÁÁlvaro Santana
- AAlejandro González Gorrín
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 08:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marino have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Las Palmas III have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Mensajero(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lanzarote(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Los Llanos(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Estrella(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Anaza(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tenerife C(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Laguna de Duero(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Mensajero(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Marino wins, 1 draw, 2 Las Palmas III wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Las Palmas III 1-1 Marino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Marino 0-1 Las Palmas III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Las Palmas III 2-1 Marino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Marino 2-0 Las Palmas III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Jan 5, 2020 | Marino 2-1 Las Palmas III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Las Palmas III vs Marino on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marino score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas III score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marino | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Las Palmas III | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marino sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (15 points from 10 matches) and Las Palmas III sit 5th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Las Palmas III | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Marino | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 15 |
A question about Marino vs Las Palmas III?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marino vs Las Palmas III?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marino the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Las Palmas III.
- Where and when is Marino vs Las Palmas III played?
- Marino vs Las Palmas III is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 2, 2027LanzarotevsMensajero
- May 2, 2027Villa Santa BrígidavsPanadería Pulido
- May 2, 2027Unión Sur YaizavsAnaza
- May 2, 2027EstrellavsTenerife C
- May 2, 2027Real Unión de TenerifevsSan Bartolomé
- May 2, 2027Laguna de DuerovsVillaverde Norte
- May 2, 2027Los LlanosvsSan Fernando CD
- May 2, 2027Playas SotaventovsSan Miguel