Match

Marino vs Las Palmas III: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 · Matchday 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, Los Cristianos (Tenerife)

MarinoLas Palmas III

The Footlab AI model makes Marino the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Las Palmas III. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marino wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,441 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marino vs Las Palmas III?

A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Marino (1,703) and Las Palmas III (1,800).

41%26%33%
Marino winDrawLas Palmas III win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Marino vs Las Palmas III

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Marino

Not enough data to predict the Marino lineup.

Las Palmas III

4-3-3
  1. VVíctor José Socorro Quintana
  2. HHéctor David Castillo Martín
  3. AAbian Santos Vergara
  1. SSamuel Antonio Ramos Linares
  2. GGabriel Felipe Arrocha
  3. JJosé Ángel
  1. IIan Bolaños Gracia
  2. BBrian
  3. UUssama Ahmed Ouzzani
  4. ÁÁlvaro Santana
  1. AAlejandro González Gorrín

Computed on November 11, 2026 at 08:09 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marino have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Las Palmas III have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marino
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Mensajero(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Nov 1, 2026Villa Santa Brígida(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 25, 2026Lanzarote(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 21, 2026Los Llanos(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 18, 2026Estrella(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas III
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026San Miguel(away)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 31, 2026Anaza(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 24, 2026Tenerife C(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 21, 2026Laguna de Duero(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 17, 2026Mensajero(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Marino wins, 1 draw, 2 Las Palmas III wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2026Las Palmas III 1-1 MarinoTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 26, 2025Marino 0-1 Las Palmas IIITercera División RFEF - Group 12
Feb 26, 2022Las Palmas III 2-1 MarinoTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 16, 2021Marino 2-0 Las Palmas IIITercera División RFEF - Group 12
Jan 5, 2020Marino 2-1 Las Palmas IIITercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Las Palmas III vs Marino on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Marino score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas III score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Marino1.31.729/159/15
Las Palmas III1.61.058/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Marino sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (15 points from 10 matches) and Las Palmas III sit 5th (16 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Las Palmas III10442201216
7Marino10433181215

A question about Marino vs Las Palmas III?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marino vs Las Palmas III?
The Footlab AI model makes Marino the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Las Palmas III.
Where and when is Marino vs Las Palmas III played?
Marino vs Las Palmas III is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Marino and Las Palmas III