Villa Santa Brígida vs Panadería Pulido: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Los Olivos, Santa Brígida
The Footlab model makes Villa Santa Brígida the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Panadería Pulido. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villa Santa Brígida vs Panadería Pulido?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Villa Santa Brígida (1,758) and Panadería Pulido (1,813).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Santa Brígida have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Panadería Pulido have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Telde(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 1, 2026 | Marino(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mensajero(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tenerife C(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | San Bartolomé(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | UD San Fernando(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 16, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 10, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Atlético Paso(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Villa Santa Brígida win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Panadería Pulido win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida 1-1 Panadería Pulido | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Panadería Pulido 2-1 Villa Santa Brígida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 4, 2025 | Panadería Pulido 0-0 Villa Santa Brígida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Villa Santa Brígida 2-1 Panadería Pulido | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Villa Santa Brígida 3-4 Panadería Pulido | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Nov 17, 2023 | Panadería Pulido 0-0 Villa Santa Brígida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Villa Santa Brígida vs Panadería Pulido on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villa Santa Brígida score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Panadería Pulido score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa Santa Brígida | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Panadería Pulido | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villa Santa Brígida sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (50 points from 34 matches) and Panadería Pulido sit 5th (55 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Panadería Pulido | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 55 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brígida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42 | 35 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villa Santa Brígida vs Panadería Pulido?
- The Footlab model makes Villa Santa Brígida the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Panadería Pulido.
- Where and when is Villa Santa Brígida vs Panadería Pulido played?
- Villa Santa Brígida vs Panadería Pulido is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Los Olivos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.