Match

Los Llanos vs San Fernando CD: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Aceró, Los Llanos de Aridane

Los LlanosSan Fernando CD

The Footlab model makes Los Llanos the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for San Fernando CD. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Los Llanos vs San Fernando CD?

San Fernando CD starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,746 vs 1,638).

Los Llanos win40 %
Draw29 %
San Fernando CD win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Llanos have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; San Fernando CD have 1, 6 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Los Llanos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 11, 2025Panadería Pulido(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 4, 2025Tamaraceite(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2025Las Palmas II(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 17, 2025Herbania(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2025San Bartolomé(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
San Fernando CD
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Tamaraceite(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 30, 2026Tamaraceite(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 28, 2025Albacete(home)0-3Copa del Rey
May 4, 2025Cádiz II(away)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 27, 2025Juventud Torremolinos(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Los Llanos score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; San Fernando CD score 0.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Los Llanos0.91.554/158/15
San Fernando CD0.41.343/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Los Llanos vs San Fernando CD?
The Footlab model makes Los Llanos the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for San Fernando CD.
Where and when is Los Llanos vs San Fernando CD played?
Los Llanos vs San Fernando CD is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Aceró, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Los Llanos and San Fernando CD

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