Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P.: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 10Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez, Lanús, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Estudiantes L.P. the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Lanus. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P.?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Lanus (1,813) and Estudiantes L.P. (1,892).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lanus have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Estudiantes L.P. have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Independiente(home) | 1-3 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Talleres Cordoba(away) | 3-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Union Santa Fe(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Instituto Cordoba(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Cienciano(away) | 0-4 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | U. Catolica(away) | 3-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gimnasia L.P.(home) | 4-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 12, 2026 | U. Catolica(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportivo Riestra(away) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Boca Juniors(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lanus win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Estudiantes L.P. win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P. 0-1 Lanus | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| May 25, 2024 | Lanus 2-1 Estudiantes L.P. | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Lanus 1-2 Estudiantes L.P. | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Nov 27, 2023 | Estudiantes L.P. 1-1 Lanus | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Feb 13, 2023 | Estudiantes L.P. 0-2 Lanus | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 10, 2022 | Estudiantes L.P. 3-1 Lanus | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Estudiantes L.P. vs Lanus on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lanus score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Estudiantes L.P. score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lanus | 0.7 | 1.3 | 7 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Estudiantes L.P. | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lanus sit 6th in Liga Profesional Argentina (24 points from 16 matches) and Estudiantes L.P. sit 1st (31 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 31 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 24 |
| 7 | Estudiantes L.P. | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | Lanus | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P.?
- The Footlab model makes Estudiantes L.P. the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Lanus.
- Where and when is Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P. played?
- Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P. is played on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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