Where and when is Larkhall Athletic vs Dorchester Town played?

Larkhall Athletic vs Dorchester Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Plain Ham Ground, in the FA Trophy.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Larkhall Athletic vs Dorchester Town: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Plain Ham Ground, Bath, Somerset

Larkhall Athletic

Dorchester Town

The Footlab model makes Larkhall Athletic the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Dorchester Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Larkhall Athletic vs Dorchester Town?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Larkhall Athletic (1,651) and Dorchester Town (1,678).

Larkhall Athletic win42 %

Draw25 %

Dorchester Town win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Larkhall Athletic have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Dorchester Town have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Larkhall Athletic
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Mousehole(home)	2-0	Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 18, 2026	Bashley(away)	2-4	Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 11, 2026	Bideford(home)	1-1	Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 6, 2026	Bristol Manor Farm(away)	0-2	Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 3, 2026	Portishead Town(home)	1-1	Non League Div One - Southern South

Dorchester Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Sholing(home)	0-4	Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 18, 2026	Hungerford Town(away)	0-0	Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 11, 2026	Gloucester City(home)	0-5	Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 6, 2026	Weymouth(away)	0-0	Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 3, 2026	Berkhamsted(home)	2-3	Non League Premier - Southern South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Larkhall Athletic win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Dorchester Town win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 30, 2024	Dorchester Town 1-2 Larkhall Athletic	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Dorchester Town vs Larkhall Athletic on Jul 30, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Larkhall Athletic score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dorchester Town score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Larkhall Athletic	1.3	1.7	3	9/15	6/15
Dorchester Town	1.0	1.9	4	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Larkhall Athletic vs Dorchester Town?: The Footlab model makes Larkhall Athletic the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Dorchester Town.
Where and when is Larkhall Athletic vs Dorchester Town played?: Larkhall Athletic vs Dorchester Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Plain Ham Ground, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.