Leevon / PPK vs JDFS Alberts: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)LNK Sporta Parks (mākslīgais), Riga
The Footlab model makes JDFS Alberts the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Leevon / PPK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leevon / PPK vs JDFS Alberts?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Leevon / PPK (1,495) and JDFS Alberts (1,574).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leevon / PPK have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; JDFS Alberts have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Smiltene(home) | 4-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mārupe(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Skanste(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Riga Mariners(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rīgas FS II(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Riga FC II(home) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Tukums II(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Super Nova 2(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | JFK Ventspils(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Leevon / PPK win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 JDFS Alberts win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | JDFS Alberts 0-0 Leevon / PPK | 1. Liga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | JDFS Alberts 1-0 Leevon / PPK | 1. Liga |
| May 10, 2025 | Leevon / PPK 0-4 JDFS Alberts | 1. Liga |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Leevon / PPK 0-2 JDFS Alberts | 1. Liga |
| May 25, 2024 | JDFS Alberts 1-0 Leevon / PPK | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: JDFS Alberts vs Leevon / PPK on Jun 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leevon / PPK score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; JDFS Alberts score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leevon / PPK | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| JDFS Alberts | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leevon / PPK sit 2nd in 1. Liga (24 points from 10 matches) and JDFS Alberts sit 5th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Leevon / PPK | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Leevon / PPK | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 20 | 39 |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 17 |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leevon / PPK vs JDFS Alberts?
- The Footlab model makes JDFS Alberts the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Leevon / PPK.
- Where and when is Leevon / PPK vs JDFS Alberts played?
- Leevon / PPK vs JDFS Alberts is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at LNK Sporta Parks (mākslīgais), in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.