Rēzekne FA vs Rīgas FS II: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sporta Aģentūras Stadions, Rezekne
The Footlab model makes Rīgas FS II the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Rēzekne FA. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rēzekne FA vs Rīgas FS II?
Rīgas FS II starts as the favourite with a 242-point Elo edge (1,396 vs 1,153).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rēzekne FA have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Rīgas FS II have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Metta / LU(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Skanste(away) | 1-5 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leevon / PPK(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mārupe(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Smiltene(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 1-3 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Metta / LU(away) | 1-12 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Smiltene(away) | 5-3 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Tukums II(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rēzekne FA win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Rīgas FS II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Rīgas FS II 3-0 Rēzekne FA | 1. Liga |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Rēzekne FA 0-0 Rīgas FS II | 1. Liga |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Rīgas FS II 1-2 Rēzekne FA | 1. Liga |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Rēzekne FA 0-2 Rīgas FS II | 1. Liga |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Rīgas FS II 4-0 Rēzekne FA | 1. Liga |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Rēzekne FA 0-1 Rīgas FS II | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Rīgas FS II vs Rēzekne FA on Jun 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rēzekne FA score 0.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rīgas FS II score 1.3 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rēzekne FA | 0.9 | 2.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Rīgas FS II | 1.3 | 2.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rēzekne FA sit 14th in 1. Liga (4 points from 10 matches) and Rīgas FS II sit 10th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rīgas FS II | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 8 |
| 11 | Rīgas FS II | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 48 | 12 |
| 14 | Rēzekne FA | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 4 |
| 14 | Rēzekne FA | 17 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 48 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rēzekne FA vs Rīgas FS II?
- The Footlab model makes Rīgas FS II the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Rēzekne FA.
- Where and when is Rēzekne FA vs Rīgas FS II played?
- Rēzekne FA vs Rīgas FS II is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sporta Aģentūras Stadions, in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.