Super Nova 2 vs Metta / LU: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Metta / LU the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Super Nova 2. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Super Nova 2 vs Metta / LU?
Metta / LU starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (1,651 vs 1,411).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Super Nova 2 have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Metta / LU have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Skanste(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mārupe(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | JFK Ventspils(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Riga Mariners(home) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Riga(away) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rīgas FS II(home) | 12-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Riga FC II(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Tukums II(home) | 9-0 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Super Nova 2 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Metta / LU win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Metta / LU 7-3 Super Nova 2 | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Metta / LU vs Super Nova 2 on Jun 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Super Nova 2 score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Metta / LU score 4.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super Nova 2 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Metta / LU | 4.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Super Nova 2 sit 7th in 1. Liga (15 points from 10 matches) and Metta / LU sit 1st (25 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metta / LU | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 9 | 25 |
| 1 | Metta / LU | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 44 |
| 7 | Super Nova 2 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
| 7 | Super Nova 2 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 26 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Super Nova 2 vs Metta / LU?
- The Footlab model makes Metta / LU the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Super Nova 2.
- Where and when is Super Nova 2 vs Metta / LU played?
- Super Nova 2 vs Metta / LU is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC), in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.