Super Nova 2 vs Rīgas FS II: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Super Nova 2 the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Rīgas FS II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Super Nova 2 vs Rīgas FS II?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Super Nova 2 (1,411) and Rīgas FS II (1,396).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Super Nova 2 have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Rīgas FS II have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Skanste(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mārupe(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | JFK Ventspils(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Riga Mariners(home) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 1-3 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Metta / LU(away) | 1-12 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Smiltene(away) | 5-3 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Tukums II(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Super Nova 2 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Rīgas FS II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2026 | Rīgas FS II 1-1 Super Nova 2 | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Rīgas FS II vs Super Nova 2 on Jul 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Super Nova 2 score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rīgas FS II score 1.3 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super Nova 2 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Rīgas FS II | 1.3 | 2.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Super Nova 2 sit 7th in 1. Liga (15 points from 10 matches) and Rīgas FS II sit 10th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Super Nova 2 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
| 7 | Super Nova 2 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 26 | 24 |
| 10 | Rīgas FS II | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 8 |
| 11 | Rīgas FS II | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 48 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Super Nova 2 vs Rīgas FS II?
- The Footlab model makes Super Nova 2 the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Rīgas FS II.
- Where and when is Super Nova 2 vs Rīgas FS II played?
- Super Nova 2 vs Rīgas FS II is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.