JFK Ventspils vs Rēzekne FA: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)OC Ventspils rezerves laukums, Ventspils
The Footlab model makes JFK Ventspils the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Rēzekne FA. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win JFK Ventspils vs Rēzekne FA?
JFK Ventspils starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (1,366 vs 1,153).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JFK Ventspils have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Rēzekne FA have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Super Nova 2(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Smiltene(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Riga Mariners(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 1-3 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Skanste(away) | 3-0 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Metta / LU(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Skanste(away) | 1-5 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leevon / PPK(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mārupe(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Smiltene(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 JFK Ventspils win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Rēzekne FA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Rēzekne FA 1-1 JFK Ventspils | 1. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2025 | JFK Ventspils 1-1 Rēzekne FA | 1. Liga |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Rēzekne FA 0-1 JFK Ventspils | 1. Liga |
| Aug 11, 2024 | JFK Ventspils 4-0 Rēzekne FA | 1. Liga |
| Apr 15, 2024 | Rēzekne FA 2-2 JFK Ventspils | 1. Liga |
| Aug 6, 2023 | JFK Ventspils 1-1 Rēzekne FA | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Rēzekne FA vs JFK Ventspils on Jul 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
JFK Ventspils score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Rēzekne FA score 0.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JFK Ventspils | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Rēzekne FA | 0.9 | 2.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
JFK Ventspils sit 12th in 1. Liga (6 points from 9 matches) and Rēzekne FA sit 14th (4 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | JFK Ventspils | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 6 |
| 12 | JFK Ventspils | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 11 |
| 14 | Rēzekne FA | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 4 |
| 14 | Rēzekne FA | 17 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 48 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for JFK Ventspils vs Rēzekne FA?
- The Footlab model makes JFK Ventspils the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Rēzekne FA.
- Where and when is JFK Ventspils vs Rēzekne FA played?
- JFK Ventspils vs Rēzekne FA is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at OC Ventspils rezerves laukums, in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.