Riga Mariners vs JDFS Alberts: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Riga Mariners the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for JDFS Alberts. The most likely score is 1-1. If Riga Mariners wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Riga Mariners vs JDFS Alberts?
On Elo ratings, Riga Mariners has 1,634 points and JDFS Alberts 1,592.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Riga Mariners vs JDFS Alberts
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Riga Mariners
Not enough data to predict the Riga Mariners lineup.
JDFS Alberts
Not enough data to predict the JDFS Alberts lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Riga Mariners have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; JDFS Alberts have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Metta / LU(away) | 0-4 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 4-2 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Smiltene(away) | 1-4 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 5-0 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Rīgas FS II(home) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Skanste(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Metta / LU(home) | 1-3 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Smiltene(home) | 3-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Mārupe(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Riga Mariners wins, 0 draws, 1 JDFS Alberts win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | JDFS Alberts 0-4 Riga Mariners | 1. Liga |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Riga Mariners 1-0 JDFS Alberts | Cup |
| Nov 8, 2025 | JDFS Alberts 2-0 Riga Mariners | 1. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Riga Mariners 4-2 JDFS Alberts | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: JDFS Alberts vs Riga Mariners on Jul 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Riga Mariners score 3.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; JDFS Alberts score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riga Mariners | 3.0 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| JDFS Alberts | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Riga Mariners sit 4th in 1. Liga (47 points from 22 matches) and JDFS Alberts sit 5th (40 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Riga Mariners | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 50 | 27 | 47 |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 31 | 40 |
A question about Riga Mariners vs JDFS Alberts?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Riga Mariners vs JDFS Alberts?
- The Footlab AI model makes Riga Mariners the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for JDFS Alberts.
- Where and when is Riga Mariners vs JDFS Alberts played?
- Riga Mariners vs JDFS Alberts is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.