Lens vs Como: prediction and stats
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 4Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
The Footlab AI model makes Lens the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Como. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lens wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lens vs Como?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Lens (2,177) and Como (2,194).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lens vs Como
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lens
3-4-2-1- 29F. Ivanović
- 10F. Thauvin
- 14M. Udol
- 27M. Cuisance
- 21A. Haidara
- 28J. Kadile
- 23Saud Abdulhamid
- 32K. Antonio
- 25I. Ganiou
- 6S. Baidoo
- 40R. Risser
Como
4-2-3-1- 9T. Douvikas
- 11Assane Diao
- 10N. Paz
- 7L. da Cunha
- 20M. Baturina
- 5M. Perrone
- 4Jacobo Ramón Naveros
- 27Yan Couto
- 99T. Chalobah
- 3Álex Valle
- 1J. Butez
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 07:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lens have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Como have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | AS Roma(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Parma(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2026 | RB Leipzig(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 4-1 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Lens score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Como score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lens | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Como | 1.8 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lens sit 10th in UEFA Champions League (3 points from 1 match) and Como sit 5th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Como | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
A question about Lens vs Como?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lens vs Como?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lens the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Como.
- Where and when is Lens vs Como played?
- Lens vs Como is played on November 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, in the UEFA Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.