Liberia vs Cape Verde Islands: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup stage · Matchday 4Kick-off on November 17, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Samuel Kanyon Doe Stadium, Monrovia
The Footlab AI model makes Cape Verde Islands the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Liberia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cape Verde Islands wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,515 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Liberia vs Cape Verde Islands?
Cape Verde Islands starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,571 vs 1,425).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Liberia vs Cape Verde Islands
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Liberia
3-5-2- 11S. Nimely
- 10A. Kosiah
- 19O. Dorley
- 17F. Nyenetue
- 6Salomon Tweh
- 4N. Kenneh
- 8D. Teah
- 3E. Fully
- 24S. Dweh
- 20M. Sangare
- 1J. Yeanaye
Cape Verde Islands
4-1-4-1- 9Gilson Benchimol
- 20Ryan Mendes
- 6Kevin Pina
- 18Telmo Arcanjo
- 16José Luís Rocha Tavares
- 25A. Santos
- 3Diney Borges
- 13S. Lopes Cabral
- 2Wagner Pina
- 5Logan Costa
- 1Vózinha
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 03:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liberia have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Cape Verde Islands have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Mali(home) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Rwanda(away) | 1-3 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Sierra Leone(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Sierra Leone(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Libya(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Rwanda(home) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Mali(away) | 1-3 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Argentina(away) | 2-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Saudi Arabia(home) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Uruguay(away) | 2-2 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Liberia wins, 0 draws, 2 Cape Verde Islands wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2021 | Cape Verde Islands 1-0 Liberia | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 7, 2021 | Liberia 1-2 Cape Verde Islands | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
Last archived meeting: Cape Verde Islands vs Liberia on Oct 10, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Liberia score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Cape Verde Islands score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberia | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Cape Verde Islands | 1.5 | 1.3 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Liberia sit 4th in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (0 points from 2 matches) and Cape Verde Islands sit 3rd (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cape Verde Islands | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 4 | Liberia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
A question about Liberia vs Cape Verde Islands?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Liberia vs Cape Verde Islands?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cape Verde Islands the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Liberia.
- Where and when is Liberia vs Cape Verde Islands played?
- Liberia vs Cape Verde Islands is played on November 17, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Samuel Kanyon Doe Stadium, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.