Where and when is Lichfield City vs Matlock Town played?

Lichfield City vs Matlock Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Trade Tyre Community Stadium, in the FA Trophy.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lichfield City vs Matlock Town: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Trade Tyre Community Stadium, Lichfield

Lichfield City

Matlock Town

The Footlab model makes Matlock Town the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Lichfield City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lichfield City vs Matlock Town?

Matlock Town starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,807 vs 1,649).

Lichfield City win29 %

Draw25 %

Matlock Town win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lichfield City have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Matlock Town have 11, 1 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lichfield City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Shepshed Dynamo(away)	1-3	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 18, 2026	AFC Rushden & Diamonds(home)	2-1	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 11, 2026	Bedworth United(home)	1-3	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 6, 2026	Coleshill Town(away)	3-2	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 4, 2026	Carlton Town(home)	0-4	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands

Matlock Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 18, 2026	Rotherham(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Grimsby Borough(home)	5-0	Non League Div One - Northern East
Apr 18, 2026	Newton Aycliffe(away)	3-2	Non League Div One - Northern East
Apr 11, 2026	Ashington AFC(home)	5-0	Non League Div One - Northern East
Apr 6, 2026	Silsden(away)	2-1	Non League Div One - Northern East

How many goals should we expect?

Lichfield City score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Matlock Town score 2.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lichfield City	1.5	1.5	6	7/15	9/15
Matlock Town	2.2	1.0	6	7/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lichfield City vs Matlock Town?: The Footlab model makes Matlock Town the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Lichfield City.
Where and when is Lichfield City vs Matlock Town played?: Lichfield City vs Matlock Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Trade Tyre Community Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.