Lincoln United vs Nuneaton Town: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sun Hat Villas & Resorts Stadium, Lincoln, Lincolnshire
The Footlab model makes Nuneaton Town the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Lincoln United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lincoln United vs Nuneaton Town?
Nuneaton Town starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,732 vs 1,627).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lincoln United have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Nuneaton Town have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ashington AFC(away) | 3-6 | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Apr 18, 2026 | North Ferriby(home) | 0-0 | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Hallam(home) | 1-0 | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Pontefract Collieries(away) | 4-1 | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2025 | Coleshill Town(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Leamington(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2024 | Gresley(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 16, 2024 | Boldmere St. Michaels(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 13, 2024 | St Ives Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
How many goals should we expect?
Lincoln United score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nuneaton Town score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln United | 1.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Nuneaton Town | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lincoln United vs Nuneaton Town?
- The Footlab model makes Nuneaton Town the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Lincoln United.
- Where and when is Lincoln United vs Nuneaton Town played?
- Lincoln United vs Nuneaton Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sun Hat Villas & Resorts Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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