Sunderland vs Liverpool: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stadium of Light, Sunderland
The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Sunderland. The most likely score is 1-1. If Liverpool wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,102 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sunderland vs Liverpool?
Liverpool starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (2,338 vs 2,160).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sunderland vs Liverpool
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sunderland
4-2-3-1- 57Timur Tuterov
- 34G. Xhaka
- 27N. Sadiki
- 28E. Le Fée
- 32T. Hume
- 10N. Angulo
- 20N. Mukiele
- 4K. Danso
- 17Reinildo
- 15O. Alderete
- 22R. Roefs
Liverpool
4-2-3-1- 9A. Isak
- 10A. Mac Allister
- 7F. Wirtz
- 29B. Barcola
- 23Víctor Muñoz
- 38R. Gravenberch
- 33R. Araújo
- 5J. Jacquet
- 4V. van Dijk
- 6M. Kerkez
- 1Alisson Becker
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 10:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sunderland have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Liverpool have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Torreense(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 3-5 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 4-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Brentford(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 6-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Manchester City(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sunderland wins, 3 draws, 3 Liverpool wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Liverpool 4-2 Sunderland | Premier League - Summer Series |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Sunderland 0-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Liverpool 1-1 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Jan 2, 2017 | Sunderland 2-2 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Nov 26, 2016 | Liverpool 2-0 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Feb 6, 2016 | Liverpool 2-2 Sunderland | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Liverpool vs Sunderland on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sunderland score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Liverpool score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Liverpool | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sunderland sit 20th in Premier League (4 points from 7 matches) and Liverpool sit 5th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 4 |
A question about Sunderland vs Liverpool?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sunderland vs Liverpool?
- The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Sunderland.
- Where and when is Sunderland vs Liverpool played?
- Sunderland vs Liverpool is played on January 6, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Stadium of Light, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.