Match

Llantwit Major vs Caerphilly Athletic: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 5Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Windmill Ground, Llantwit Major

Llantwit MajorCaerphilly Athletic

The Footlab AI model makes Llantwit Major the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Caerphilly Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1. If Llantwit Major wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Llantwit Major vs Caerphilly Athletic?

A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates Llantwit Major (1,562) and Caerphilly Athletic (1,561).

41%25%34%
Llantwit Major winDrawCaerphilly Athletic win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Llantwit Major vs Caerphilly Athletic

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Llantwit Major

Not enough data to predict the Llantwit Major lineup.

Caerphilly Athletic

Not enough data to predict the Caerphilly Athletic lineup.

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:40 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llantwit Major have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Caerphilly Athletic have 4, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Llantwit Major
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Pontardawe Town(home)1-1FAW Championship
Oct 6, 2026Pontypridd Town(away)1-4FAW Championship
Oct 2, 2026Carmarthen Town(away)2-1FAW Championship
Sep 26, 2026llanelli AFC(home)2-0FAW Championship
Sep 12, 2026Treowen Stars(away)1-1FAW Championship
Caerphilly Athletic
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Newport City(home)3-2FAW Championship
Oct 3, 2026Swansea University(away)1-3FAW Championship
Sep 25, 2026Pontypridd Town(home)1-2FAW Championship
Sep 12, 2026Aberystwyth Town(home)2-3FAW Championship
Sep 4, 2026Trethomas Bluebirds(away)2-2FAW Championship

How many goals should we expect?

Llantwit Major score 1.2 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Caerphilly Athletic score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Llantwit Major1.22.5111/1511/15
Caerphilly Athletic1.42.0210/1411/14

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Llantwit Major sit 15th in FAW Championship (8 points from 9 matches) and Caerphilly Athletic sit 11th (11 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Caerphilly Athletic10325121911
15Llantwit Major92258218

A question about Llantwit Major vs Caerphilly Athletic?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Llantwit Major vs Caerphilly Athletic?
The Footlab AI model makes Llantwit Major the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Caerphilly Athletic.
Where and when is Llantwit Major vs Caerphilly Athletic played?
Llantwit Major vs Caerphilly Athletic is played on February 27, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Windmill Ground, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Llantwit Major and Caerphilly Athletic

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