Where and when is Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions played?

Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Newport Stadium, in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 5Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Newport Stadium, Casnewydd

Newport City

Ynyshir Albions

The Footlab model makes Newport City the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Ynyshir Albions. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions?

Newport City starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,536 vs 1,428).

Newport City win51 %

Draw24 %

Ynyshir Albions win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newport City have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Ynyshir Albions have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Newport City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Baglan Dragons(home)	0-1	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Pontardawe Town(away)	4-0	FAW Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Carmarthen Town(home)	1-2	FAW Championship
Jul 31, 2026	llanelli AFC(away)	4-1	FAW Championship
Jul 8, 2026	Newport County(home)	0-5	Friendlies Clubs

Ynyshir Albions
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Caerphilly Athletic(away)	1-2	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Caerau (Ely)(away)	1-1	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Cardiff Draconians(home)	1-0	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Aberystwyth Town(home)	0-0	FAW Championship
Apr 4, 2026	Caerau (Ely)(away)	0-2	FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Newport City win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ynyshir Albions win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 14, 2026	Ynyshir Albions 4-0 Newport City	FAW Championship
Aug 22, 2025	Newport City 1-1 Ynyshir Albions	FAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Ynyshir Albions vs Newport City on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Newport City score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ynyshir Albions score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Newport City	1.3	2.2	3	6/15	11/15
Ynyshir Albions	1.1	1.4	5	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Newport City sit 7th in FAW Championship (6 points from 4 matches) and Ynyshir Albions sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Newport City	4	2	0	2	9	4	6
9	Ynyshir Albions	3	1	1	1	3	3	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions?: The Footlab model makes Newport City the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Ynyshir Albions.
Where and when is Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions played?: Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Newport Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.