Where and when is Aberystwyth Town vs Pontardawe Town played?

Aberystwyth Town vs Pontardawe Town is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Park Avenue, in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Aberystwyth Town vs Pontardawe Town: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 5Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Park Avenue, Aberystwyth, Ceredigion

Aberystwyth Town

Pontardawe Town

The Footlab model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Pontardawe Town. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aberystwyth Town vs Pontardawe Town?

Aberystwyth Town starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,577 vs 1,467).

Aberystwyth Town win59 %

Draw21 %

Pontardawe Town win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aberystwyth Town have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Pontardawe Town have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aberystwyth Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Llantwit Major(home)	5-1	FAW Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Treowen Stars(home)	1-2	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Afan Lido(away)	5-2	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Ynyshir Albions(away)	0-0	FAW Championship
Apr 11, 2026	Cwmbran Celtic(away)	1-3	FAW Championship

Pontardawe Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Afan Lido(away)	0-1	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Newport City(home)	0-4	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Pontypridd Town(away)	2-3	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Caerphilly Athletic(home)	3-0	FAW Championship
Apr 20, 2024	Baglan Dragons(away)	2-1	FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Aberystwyth Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Pontardawe Town win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 14, 2023	Aberystwyth Town 2-1 Pontardawe Town	Welsh Cup

Last archived meeting: Aberystwyth Town vs Pontardawe Town on Oct 14, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Aberystwyth Town score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pontardawe Town score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Aberystwyth Town	1.5	1.6	4	7/15	10/15
Pontardawe Town	1.3	2.1	3	7/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Aberystwyth Town sit 6th in FAW Championship (6 points from 3 matches) and Pontardawe Town sit 13th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Aberystwyth Town	3	2	0	1	11	5	6
13	Pontardawe Town	4	1	0	3	5	8	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aberystwyth Town vs Pontardawe Town?: The Footlab model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Pontardawe Town.
Where and when is Aberystwyth Town vs Pontardawe Town played?: Aberystwyth Town vs Pontardawe Town is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Park Avenue, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.