Where and when is Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido played?

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence, in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 5Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence, Ystrad Mynach, Caerphilly

Trethomas Bluebirds

Afan Lido

The Footlab model makes Trethomas Bluebirds the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Afan Lido. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Trethomas Bluebirds (1,512) and Afan Lido (1,498).

Trethomas Bluebirds win52 %

Draw21 %

Afan Lido win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trethomas Bluebirds have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Afan Lido have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Trethomas Bluebirds
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Pontypridd Town(away)	1-2	FAW Championship
Aug 14, 2026	Caerau (Ely)(home)	2-4	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	llanelli AFC(away)	1-1	FAW Championship
Jul 31, 2026	Baglan Dragons(home)	0-0	FAW Championship
Jul 14, 2026	Barry Town(away)	1-5	Friendlies Clubs

Afan Lido
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Pontardawe Town(home)	1-0	FAW Championship
Aug 14, 2026	Carmarthen Town(away)	1-3	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Llantwit Major(home)	5-0	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Aberystwyth Town(home)	2-5	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Cardiff Draconians(away)	1-4	FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Trethomas Bluebirds win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Afan Lido win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 20, 2026	Afan Lido 1-0 Trethomas Bluebirds	FAW Championship
Aug 22, 2025	Trethomas Bluebirds 3-2 Afan Lido	FAW Championship
Apr 4, 2025	Afan Lido 1-0 Trethomas Bluebirds	FAW Championship
Oct 11, 2024	Trethomas Bluebirds 3-2 Afan Lido	FAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds on Feb 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Trethomas Bluebirds score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Afan Lido score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Trethomas Bluebirds	1.5	2.3	3	10/15	9/15
Afan Lido	1.7	1.7	5	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Trethomas Bluebirds sit 14th in FAW Championship (2 points from 4 matches) and Afan Lido sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Afan Lido	4	2	0	2	9	8	6
14	Trethomas Bluebirds	4	0	2	2	4	7	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido?: The Footlab model makes Trethomas Bluebirds the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Afan Lido.
Where and when is Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido played?: Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.