Where and when is Treowen Stars vs Llantwit Major played?

Treowen Stars vs Llantwit Major is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Treowen Stars vs Llantwit Major: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)

Treowen Stars

Llantwit Major

The Footlab model makes Treowen Stars the favourite at 69%, against 16% for a draw and 15% for Llantwit Major. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Treowen Stars vs Llantwit Major?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Treowen Stars (1,581) and Llantwit Major (1,485).

Treowen Stars win69 %

Draw16 %

Llantwit Major win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Treowen Stars have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Llantwit Major have 4, 1 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Treowen Stars
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Carmarthen Town(away)	4-2	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Caerphilly Athletic(home)	3-0	FAW Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Aberystwyth Town(away)	2-1	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Pontypridd Town(home)	2-3	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Carmarthen Town(home)	4-1	FAW Championship

Llantwit Major
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Aberystwyth Town(away)	1-5	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Baglan Dragons(home)	0-1	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Afan Lido(away)	0-5	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Swansea University(home)	0-3	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Cambrian & Clydach(home)	1-3	FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Treowen Stars win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Llantwit Major win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 3, 2026	Llantwit Major 3-2 Treowen Stars	FAW Championship
Nov 1, 2025	Treowen Stars 1-1 Llantwit Major	FAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Llantwit Major vs Treowen Stars on Mar 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Treowen Stars score 2.0 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Llantwit Major score 1.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Treowen Stars	2.0	2.2	1	11/15	13/15
Llantwit Major	1.5	2.5	1	10/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Treowen Stars sit 3rd in FAW Championship (9 points from 4 matches) and Llantwit Major sit 16th (0 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Treowen Stars	4	3	0	1	11	6	9
16	Llantwit Major	4	0	0	4	1	14	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Treowen Stars vs Llantwit Major?: The Footlab model makes Treowen Stars the favourite at 69%, against 16% for a draw and 15% for Llantwit Major.
Where and when is Treowen Stars vs Llantwit Major played?: Treowen Stars vs Llantwit Major is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.