London Lions vs Takeley: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Rowley Lane, London
The Footlab model makes Takeley the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for London Lions. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win London Lions vs Takeley?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate London Lions (1,516) and Takeley (1,602).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, London Lions have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Takeley have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Leighton Town(away) | 0-5 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Hitchin Town(home) | 0-2 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Milton Keynes Irish(home) | 1-4 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Leverstock Green(away) | 1-3 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Apr 9, 2026 | AFC Dunstable(away) | 2-0 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Wroxham(home) | 2-0 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Brightlingsea Regent(away) | 0-4 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(away) | 0-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Cambridge City(home) | 1-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 1-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
How many goals should we expect?
London Lions score 0.9 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Takeley score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| London Lions | 0.9 | 2.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Takeley | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for London Lions vs Takeley?
- The Footlab model makes Takeley the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for London Lions.
- Where and when is London Lions vs Takeley played?
- London Lions vs Takeley is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Rowley Lane, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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