LONGA '30 vs Koninklijke HFC: prediction and stats
KNVB Beker1st Preliminary RoundKick-off on September 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Treffer, Lichtenvoorde
The Footlab model makes LONGA '30 the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Koninklijke HFC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win LONGA '30 vs Koninklijke HFC?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate LONGA '30 (1,713) and Koninklijke HFC (1,778).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, LONGA '30 have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Koninklijke HFC have 5, 0 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2023 | Motherwell(home) | 0-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2020 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 0-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barendrecht(home) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hoek(away) | 1-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Spakenburg(home) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | ACV(away) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
LONGA '30 score 0.0 and concede 7.0 goals per match over their last 2; Koninklijke HFC score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LONGA '30 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 0 | 0/2 | 2/2 |
| Koninklijke HFC | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for LONGA '30 vs Koninklijke HFC?
- The Footlab model makes LONGA '30 the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Koninklijke HFC.
- Where and when is LONGA '30 vs Koninklijke HFC played?
- LONGA '30 vs Koninklijke HFC is played on September 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Treffer, in the KNVB Beker.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.