Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 27Kick-off on September 10, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, California
The Footlab model makes Los Angeles FC the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for New York Red Bulls. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls?
Los Angeles FC starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,894 vs 1,713).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Angeles FC have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; New York Red Bulls have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Portland Timbers(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Colorado Rapids(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | San Diego(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chicago Fire(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nashville SC(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atlanta United FC(away) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Orlando City SC(home) | 3-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Charlotte(home) | 0-2 | Major League Soccer |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Los Angeles FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 New York Red Bulls win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2024 | Los Angeles FC 2-2 New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 26, 2022 | Los Angeles FC 2-0 New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 12, 2019 | Los Angeles FC 4-2 New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 5, 2018 | New York Red Bulls 2-1 Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls on Apr 21, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Los Angeles FC score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; New York Red Bulls score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| New York Red Bulls | 1.4 | 2.1 | 0 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Los Angeles FC sit 3rd in Major League Soccer (35 points from 22 matches) and New York Red Bulls sit 8th (26 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 22 | 35 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 43 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls?
- The Footlab model makes Los Angeles FC the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for New York Red Bulls.
- Where and when is Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls played?
- Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls is played on September 10, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at BMO Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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