Austin vs Colorado Rapids: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 27Kick-off on September 10, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Q2 Stadium, Austin, Texas
The Footlab model makes Austin the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Colorado Rapids. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Austin vs Colorado Rapids?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Austin (1,764) and Colorado Rapids (1,806).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Austin have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Colorado Rapids have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Seattle Sounders(away) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 17, 2026 | FC Dallas(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Club America(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Puebla(home) | 3-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Club Tijuana(home) | 2-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Los Angeles FC(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sporting Kansas City(home) | 2-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Austin(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 26, 2026 | St. Louis City(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 23, 2026 | San Diego(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Austin win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Colorado Rapids win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Colorado Rapids 1-0 Austin | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Colorado Rapids 0-2 Austin | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Austin 0-1 Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Austin 3-2 Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Colorado Rapids 2-0 Austin | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Colorado Rapids 1-0 Austin | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Colorado Rapids vs Austin on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Austin score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Colorado Rapids score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Colorado Rapids | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Austin sit 14th in Major League Soccer (20 points from 20 matches) and Colorado Rapids sit 7th (28 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 25 | 28 |
| 14 | Austin | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 39 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Austin vs Colorado Rapids?
- The Footlab model makes Austin the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Colorado Rapids.
- Where and when is Austin vs Colorado Rapids played?
- Austin vs Colorado Rapids is played on September 10, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Q2 Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 9, 2026Toronto FCvsNashville SC
- Sep 9, 2026Philadelphia UnionvsFC Cincinnati
- Sep 9, 2026New York City FCvsNew England Revolution
- Sep 9, 2026Atlanta United FCvsOrlando City SC
- Sep 9, 2026CF MontrealvsCharlotte
- Sep 9, 2026DC UnitedvsColumbus Crew
- Sep 10, 2026Chicago FirevsInter Miami
- Sep 10, 2026Houston DynamovsReal Salt Lake