Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, California
The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Los Angeles FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Los Angeles FC (1,894) and Vancouver Whitecaps (1,957).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Angeles FC have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Vancouver Whitecaps have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Portland Timbers(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Colorado Rapids(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | San Diego(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Dallas(home) | 5-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Seattle Sounders(away) | 2-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Los Angeles FC win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Vancouver Whitecaps win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2-2 Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Los Angeles FC 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
| May 11, 2025 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2-2 Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Los Angeles FC 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
| Nov 4, 2024 | Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles FC on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Los Angeles FC score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vancouver Whitecaps score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Los Angeles FC sit 3rd in Major League Soccer (35 points from 22 matches) and Vancouver Whitecaps sit 1st (40 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 40 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 22 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
- The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Los Angeles FC.
- Where and when is Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps played?
- Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at BMO Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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