Match

Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, California

Los Angeles FCVancouver Whitecaps

The Footlab AI model makes Los Angeles FC the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Vancouver Whitecaps. The most likely score is 1-1. If Los Angeles FC wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Los Angeles FC starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,961 vs 1,834).

55%23%22%
Los Angeles FC winDrawVancouver Whitecaps win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Los Angeles FC

4-3-3
  1. 9A. Sieb
  2. 7Son Heung-Min
  3. 99D. Bouanga
  1. 23Y. Cheberko
  2. 4E. Segura
  3. 8M. Delgado
  1. 14Sergi Palencia
  2. 91N. Tafari
  3. 5R. Porteous
  4. 24R. Hollingshead
  1. 1H. Lloris

Vancouver Whitecaps

4-2-3-1
  1. 24B. White
  1. 8O. Larraz
  2. 11E. Sabbi
  3. 23A. Cvetković
  4. 25R. Gauld
  5. 13T. Müller
  1. 33T. Blackmon
  2. 28T. Johnson
  3. 2M. Laborda
  4. 70Rui Modesto
  1. 1Y. Takaoka

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:27 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Angeles FC have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Vancouver Whitecaps have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Los Angeles FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026FC Dallas(away)0-1Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2026San Jose Earthquakes(away)2-2Major League Soccer
Sep 13, 2026Sporting Kansas City(away)1-3Major League Soccer
Sep 10, 2026New York Red Bulls(home)2-0Major League Soccer
Sep 6, 2026Real Salt Lake(away)2-2Major League Soccer
Vancouver Whitecaps
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 7, 2026Chicago Fire(away)1-3Major League Soccer
Sep 27, 2026DC United(home)3-3Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Real Salt Lake(away)3-0Major League Soccer
Sep 16, 2026CF Montreal(away)1-2Canadian Championship
Sep 13, 2026Austin(home)1-2Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Los Angeles FC win, 3 draws, 2 Vancouver Whitecaps wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2026Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
Nov 23, 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
Jun 30, 2025Los Angeles FC 0-1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
May 11, 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
Nov 9, 2024Los Angeles FC 1-0 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
Nov 4, 2024Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles FC on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Los Angeles FC score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Vancouver Whitecaps score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Los Angeles FC1.31.048/155/15
Vancouver Whitecaps1.71.358/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Los Angeles FC sit 6th in Major League Soccer (41 points from 28 matches) and Vancouver Whitecaps sit 1st (50 points from 27 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps271557602950
6Los Angeles FC281189433041

A question about Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The Footlab AI model makes Los Angeles FC the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Vancouver Whitecaps.
Where and when is Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps played?
Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at BMO Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Los Angeles FC and Vancouver Whitecaps

Ready to know everything about football?