Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson, California
The Footlab model makes Los Angeles Galaxy the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for New England Revolution. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Los Angeles Galaxy (1,798) and New England Revolution (1,771).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Angeles Galaxy have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; New England Revolution have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Dallas(home) | 0-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 26, 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 23, 2026 | St. Louis City(home) | 1-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | DC United(away) | 3-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Toronto FC(away) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(home) | 0-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 1, 2026 | CF Montreal(away) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Atlanta United FC(home) | 4-1 | Major League Soccer |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Los Angeles Galaxy win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 New England Revolution win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2022 | New England Revolution 1-2 Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 3, 2019 | Los Angeles Galaxy 1-2 New England Revolution | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 14, 2018 | New England Revolution 2-3 Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 22, 2017 | New England Revolution 4-3 Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer |
| May 8, 2016 | Los Angeles Galaxy 4-2 New England Revolution | Major League Soccer |
| May 31, 2015 | New England Revolution 2-2 Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: New England Revolution vs Los Angeles Galaxy on Aug 29, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Los Angeles Galaxy score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; New England Revolution score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| New England Revolution | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Los Angeles Galaxy sit 10th in Major League Soccer (25 points from 21 matches) and New England Revolution sit 4th (33 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | New England Revolution | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 33 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 30 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution?
- The Footlab model makes Los Angeles Galaxy the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for New England Revolution.
- Where and when is Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution played?
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution is played on September 6, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Dignity Health Sports Park, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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