Match

Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson, California

Los Angeles GalaxySan Diego

The Footlab AI model makes Los Angeles Galaxy the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for San Diego. The most likely score is 1-1. If Los Angeles Galaxy wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Los Angeles Galaxy (1,871) and San Diego (1,883).

42%23%35%
Los Angeles Galaxy winDrawSan Diego win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Los Angeles Galaxy

4-4-2
  1. 27E. Thommy
  2. 7K. Furuhashi
  1. 21R. Taylor
  2. 26Harbor Miller
  3. 17P. Ruiz
  4. 6Sergi Roberto
  1. 5J. Glesnes
  2. 15J. Haak
  3. 2Calegari
  4. 14J. Nelson
  1. 12J. Marcinkowski

San Diego

3-4-3
  1. 10A. Dreyer
  2. 99E. Achouri
  3. 7M. Ingvartsen
  1. 6J. Tverskov
  2. 20A. Godoy
  3. 33O. Verhoeven
  4. 3D. Þór­halls­son
  1. 26M. Duah
  2. 32I. Murphy
  3. 25I. Pilcher
  1. 1C. dos Santos

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 02:39 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Angeles Galaxy have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; San Diego have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Los Angeles Galaxy
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026Colorado Rapids(home)3-2Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Minnesota United FC(away)3-2Major League Soccer
Sep 13, 2026Seattle Sounders(home)1-1Major League Soccer
Sep 10, 2026Vancouver Whitecaps(away)0-3Major League Soccer
Sep 6, 2026New England Revolution(home)2-1Major League Soccer
San Diego
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026Austin(away)3-3Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Inter Miami(away)2-2Major League Soccer
Sep 14, 2026Philadelphia Union(home)0-5Major League Soccer
Sep 10, 2026San Jose Earthquakes(home)2-3Major League Soccer
Sep 5, 2026Orlando City SC(away)0-1Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Los Angeles Galaxy wins, 0 draws, 3 San Diego wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 30, 2026San Diego 3-1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
May 24, 2025San Diego 2-1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
Feb 24, 2025Los Angeles Galaxy 0-2 San DiegoMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: San Diego vs Los Angeles Galaxy on Aug 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Los Angeles Galaxy score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; San Diego score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Los Angeles Galaxy1.11.539/158/15
San Diego1.51.748/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Los Angeles Galaxy sit 9th in Major League Soccer (36 points from 28 matches) and San Diego sit 12th (32 points from 27 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Los Angeles Galaxy289910374436
12San Diego278811474732

A question about Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego?
The Footlab AI model makes Los Angeles Galaxy the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for San Diego.
Where and when is Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego played?
Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Dignity Health Sports Park, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Los Angeles Galaxy and San Diego

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