Where and when is San Diego vs Los Angeles Galaxy played?

San Diego vs Los Angeles Galaxy is played on August 30, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC), in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

San Diego vs Los Angeles Galaxy: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 22Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)

San Diego

Los Angeles Galaxy

The Footlab model makes San Diego the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Los Angeles Galaxy. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win San Diego vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate San Diego (1,809) and Los Angeles Galaxy (1,764).

San Diego win46 %

Draw24 %

Los Angeles Galaxy win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Diego have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Los Angeles Galaxy have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

San Diego
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Colorado Rapids(home)	3-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Portland Timbers(away)	1-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Los Angeles FC(away)	1-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Puebla(home)	3-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026	Club Tijuana(home)	1-0	Leagues Cup

Los Angeles Galaxy
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	CF Montreal(away)	2-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	San Jose Earthquakes(home)	1-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Houston Dynamo(away)	0-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 2, 2026	FC Dallas(home)	0-0	Major League Soccer
Jul 26, 2026	San Jose Earthquakes(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 San Diego win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Los Angeles Galaxy win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 24, 2025	San Diego 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy	Major League Soccer
Feb 24, 2025	Los Angeles Galaxy 0-2 San Diego	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: San Diego vs Los Angeles Galaxy on May 24, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

San Diego score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Los Angeles Galaxy score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
San Diego	1.7	1.5	5	9/15	9/15
Los Angeles Galaxy	1.1	1.3	4	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

San Diego sit 11th in Major League Soccer (27 points from 21 matches) and Los Angeles Galaxy sit 12th (26 points from 22 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	San Diego	21	7	6	8	37	32	27
12	Los Angeles Galaxy	22	6	8	8	27	32	26

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for San Diego vs Los Angeles Galaxy?: The Footlab model makes San Diego the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Los Angeles Galaxy.
Where and when is San Diego vs Los Angeles Galaxy played?: San Diego vs Los Angeles Galaxy is played on August 30, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC), in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.