Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 9Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio da Capital do Móvel, Paços de Ferreira
The Footlab AI model makes Pacos Ferreira the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Trofense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pacos Ferreira wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Pacos Ferreira (1,858) and Trofense (1,877).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pacos Ferreira
4-2-3-1- 99Platiny
- 8Nuno Cunha
- 19Tomás Castro
- 6Tomás Podstawski
- 80Caio Rafael
- 10João Neto
- 33Rafael Vieira
- 15Leandro Dias
- 2Tiago Mesquita
- 29Tiago Cerveira
- 1Rafa
Trofense
4-3-3- 11Kiki
- 30Feliz Vaz
- 89Nuninho
- 65A. Gomes
- 22Matheus Claudino
- 6S. Ufala
- 21T. Oliveira
- 50T. Silva
- 3Lucca Carvalho
- 7J. Oliveira
- 31Manuel Baldé
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pacos Ferreira have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Trofense have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Guimaraes B(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | São João Ver(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Vianense(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Fafe(home) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Varzim(home) | 1-4 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fafe(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Leça(home) | 1-4 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Guimaraes B(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Varzim(away) | 1-5 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 22, 2026 | São João Ver(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Pacos Ferreira wins, 1 draw, 0 Trofense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | Trofense 1-1 Pacos Ferreira | Taça da Liga |
Last archived meeting: Trofense vs Pacos Ferreira on Dec 3, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Pacos Ferreira score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Trofense score 0.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacos Ferreira | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Trofense | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pacos Ferreira sit 8th in Liga 3 (5 points from 6 matches) and Trofense sit 9th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pacos Ferreira | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
| 9 | Trofense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
A question about Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pacos Ferreira the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Trofense.
- Where and when is Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense played?
- Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense is played on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio da Capital do Móvel, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.