Where and when is Lower Breck vs North Ferriby played?

Lower Breck vs North Ferriby is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Anfield Sports Community Centre, in the FA Trophy.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lower Breck vs North Ferriby: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Anfield Sports Community Centre, Liverpool

Lower Breck

North Ferriby

The Footlab model makes Lower Breck the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for North Ferriby. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lower Breck vs North Ferriby?

Lower Breck starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,777 vs 1,661).

Lower Breck win56 %

Draw23 %

North Ferriby win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lower Breck have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; North Ferriby have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lower Breck
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Shifnal Town FC(away)	3-1	Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 18, 2026	Newcastle Town(home)	2-3	Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 11, 2026	Stafford Rangers(away)	0-1	Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 6, 2026	Vauxhall Motors(home)	4-0	Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 4, 2026	Kidsgrove Athletic(away)	1-1	Non League Div One - Northern West

North Ferriby
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 28, 2026	Scunthorpe(home)	3-6	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Redcar Athletic(home)	1-2	Non League Div One - Northern East
Apr 18, 2026	Lincoln United(away)	0-0	Non League Div One - Northern East
Apr 11, 2026	AFC Emley(away)	2-0	Non League Div One - Northern East
Apr 6, 2026	Grimsby Borough(home)	1-1	Non League Div One - Northern East

How many goals should we expect?

Lower Breck score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; North Ferriby score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lower Breck	2.1	1.5	4	7/15	10/15
North Ferriby	1.4	1.5	5	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lower Breck vs North Ferriby?: The Footlab model makes Lower Breck the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for North Ferriby.
Where and when is Lower Breck vs North Ferriby played?: Lower Breck vs North Ferriby is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Anfield Sports Community Centre, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.