Real Avilés vs Cultural Leonesa: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 · Matchday 32Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Román Suárez Puerta, Avilés
The Footlab AI model makes Real Avilés the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Cultural Leonesa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Avilés wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,436 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Avilés vs Cultural Leonesa?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Real Avilés (2,020) and Cultural Leonesa (1,940).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Avilés vs Cultural Leonesa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Avilés
4-3-3- 14Berto Cayarga
- 11Íñigo Muñoz
- 8B. Abelenda
- 7Cris Montes
- 9Álvaro Santamaría
- 10Neskes
- 20O. Carracedo
- 21Jon Sillero
- 23A. Lopez
- 15Eric Pérez
- 1Álvaro Ratón
Cultural Leonesa
4-4-2- 22Dani Queipo
- 9Jorge Delgado
- 14Bicho
- 6Sergi Maestre
- 23Ángel Algobia
- 10Álex Cardero
- 3Jaime Vázquez
- 17Carlos Pomares
- 2Guzmán
- 5Róber Pier
- 1Miquel Parera
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 10:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Avilés have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Cultural Leonesa have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2026 | Zamora(away) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 6, 2026 | Extremadura 1924(home) | 5-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Real Unión(away) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | UD Ourense(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Real Unión(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Ponferradina(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 1-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Real Avilés wins, 1 draw, 2 Cultural Leonesa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa 1-1 Real Avilés | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Real Avilés 0-1 Cultural Leonesa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 20, 2021 | Real Avilés 0-4 Cultural Leonesa | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Cultural Leonesa vs Real Avilés on Aug 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Avilés score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cultural Leonesa score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Avilés | 2.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Cultural Leonesa | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Avilés sit 5th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (18 points from 12 matches) and Cultural Leonesa sit 15th (13 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Real Avilés | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 18 |
| 15 | Cultural Leonesa | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
A question about Real Avilés vs Cultural Leonesa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Avilés vs Cultural Leonesa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Avilés the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Cultural Leonesa.
- Where and when is Real Avilés vs Cultural Leonesa played?
- Real Avilés vs Cultural Leonesa is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Suárez Puerta, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.