UD Logroñés vs Ponferradina: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 32Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas, Logroño
The Footlab AI model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Ponferradina. The most likely score is 1-1. If UD Logroñés wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UD Logroñés vs Ponferradina?
UD Logroñés starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (2,072 vs 1,966).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for UD Logroñés vs Ponferradina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
UD Logroñés
4-3-3- 21Ismael Santana
- 11Marcos Baselga
- 19I. Asenjo
- 14David Navarro
- 20Anai Morales
- 6Mario Maroto
- 3Sergio Camacho
- 5A. Alvarez
- 4Eduardo Cabetas
- 22Carlos García-Die
- 13Fermín Sobrón
Ponferradina
4-3-3- 7C. Calderon
- 10Borja Valle
- 12Unai Sabroso Lorenzo
- 6Fede San Emeterio
- 8Arturo Molina
- 15O. Vacas
- 3Sergio Nieto
- 4A. Jelbat
- 24Koke
- 2David Andújar
- 1Álex Domínguez
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD Logroñés have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Ponferradina have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mérida AD(away) | 5-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pontevedra(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mérida AD(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 UD Logroñés wins, 1 draw, 2 Ponferradina wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | UD Logroñés 1-3 Ponferradina | Copa del Rey |
| Mar 30, 2021 | Ponferradina 2-2 UD Logroñés | Segunda División |
| Dec 2, 2020 | UD Logroñés 1-2 Ponferradina | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: UD Logroñés vs Ponferradina on Oct 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
UD Logroñés score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ponferradina score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UD Logroñés | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Ponferradina | 0.9 | 1.1 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UD Logroñés sit 2nd in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (16 points from 7 matches) and Ponferradina sit 9th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | UD Logroñés | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 16 |
| 9 | Ponferradina | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 |
A question about UD Logroñés vs Ponferradina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UD Logroñés vs Ponferradina?
- The Footlab AI model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Ponferradina.
- Where and when is UD Logroñés vs Ponferradina played?
- UD Logroñés vs Ponferradina is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.