Match

Arenas Getxo vs Cacereño: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 32Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Gobela, Getxo

Arenas GetxoCacereño

The Footlab model makes Arenas Getxo the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Cacereño. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arenas Getxo vs Cacereño?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Arenas Getxo (1,900) and Cacereño (1,922).

Arenas Getxo win39 %
Draw28 %
Cacereño win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arenas Getxo have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Cacereño have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arenas Getxo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Laredo(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Eibar(away)0-5Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Zamora(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026Real Madrid II(away)3-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 8, 2026Racing Ferrol(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Cacereño
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Gévora(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Villanovense(away)2-0Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026CF Talavera(home)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026Zamora(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Arenas Getxo win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cacereño win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 18, 2026Cacereño 2-0 Arenas GetxoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 6, 2025Arenas Getxo 2-2 CacereñoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Cacereño vs Arenas Getxo on Jan 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arenas Getxo score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cacereño score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arenas Getxo1.21.738/157/15
Cacereño1.41.149/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arenas Getxo sit 11th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (52 points from 38 matches) and Cacereño sit 15th (44 points from 38 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Arenas Getxo3815716465552
15Cacereño38101414424944

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arenas Getxo vs Cacereño?
The Footlab model makes Arenas Getxo the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Cacereño.
Where and when is Arenas Getxo vs Cacereño played?
Arenas Getxo vs Cacereño is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Gobela, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Arenas Getxo and Cacereño

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