Match

Arenas Getxo vs Cacereño: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 32Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Gobela, Getxo

Arenas GetxoCacereño

The Footlab AI model makes Cacereño the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Arenas Getxo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cacereño wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arenas Getxo vs Cacereño?

Cacereño starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,936 vs 1,833).

22%27%51%
Arenas Getxo winDrawCacereño win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Arenas Getxo vs Cacereño

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Arenas Getxo

4-3-3
  1. 23Álex Oyón
  2. 9José Luis Cortés
  3. 14E. Redondo
  1. 16Gael Akogo Esono
  2. 21I. Telletxea
  3. 20Eneko Zabaleta
  1. 3A. Lekuna
  2. 5J. Zubelzu
  3. 18Rubi
  4. 2J. Larrauri
  1. 13H. Oleaga

Cacereño

4-3-3
  1. 9O. Chit
  2. 11A. Monerris
  3. 20Ignacio Tellechea
  1. 6N. Conesa
  2. 5Toño Calvo
  3. 8Álvaro Gete
  1. 22Adrián Expósito
  2. 17Sergio López
  3. 2I. Martinez
  4. 3Manolo Molina
  1. 1Diego Nieves

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 06:23 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arenas Getxo have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Cacereño have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arenas Getxo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Mérida AD(home)0-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 12, 2026Cultural Leonesa(away)1-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Barakaldo(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Athletic Club II(home)0-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 20, 2026Cacereño(away)0-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Cacereño
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Pontevedra(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 10, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Mérida AD(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026UD Ourense(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 20, 2026Arenas Getxo(home)3-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Arenas Getxo wins, 1 draw, 2 Cacereño wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026Cacereño 3-0 Arenas GetxoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Jan 18, 2026Cacereño 2-0 Arenas GetxoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 6, 2025Arenas Getxo 2-2 CacereñoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Cacereño vs Arenas Getxo on Sep 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arenas Getxo score 0.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cacereño score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arenas Getxo0.92.328/159/15
Cacereño1.10.866/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arenas Getxo sit 20th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (2 points from 8 matches) and Cacereño sit 8th (12 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Cacereño83327512
20Arenas Getxo80265222

A question about Arenas Getxo vs Cacereño?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arenas Getxo vs Cacereño?
The Footlab AI model makes Cacereño the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Arenas Getxo.
Where and when is Arenas Getxo vs Cacereño played?
Arenas Getxo vs Cacereño is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Gobela, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Arenas Getxo and Cacereño

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