Where and when is V-varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe played?

V-varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe is played on April 17, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

V-varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank, Nagasaki

V-varen Nagasaki

Vissel Kobe

The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for V-varen Nagasaki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win V-varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe?

Vissel Kobe starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (2,044 vs 1,910).

V-varen Nagasaki win34 %

Draw27 %

Vissel Kobe win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, V-varen Nagasaki have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Vissel Kobe have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

V-varen Nagasaki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Ehime FC(home)	3-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(away)	2-4	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(away)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(home)	2-1	J1 League
Jul 17, 2026	Utrecht(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs

Vissel Kobe
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Veroskronos Tsuno(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(away)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	FC Tokyo(home)	2-2	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka(away)	1-0	J1 League
Jul 22, 2026	Imabari(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 V-varen Nagasaki win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Vissel Kobe win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki 2-2 Vissel Kobe	J1 League
Feb 13, 2026	Vissel Kobe 2-0 V-varen Nagasaki	J1 League
Oct 6, 2018	Vissel Kobe 1-1 V-varen Nagasaki	J1 League
Jul 18, 2018	V-varen Nagasaki 0-1 Vissel Kobe	J1 League
Apr 18, 2018	V-varen Nagasaki 1-2 Vissel Kobe	J-League Cup
Mar 7, 2018	Vissel Kobe 2-2 V-varen Nagasaki	J-League Cup

Last archived meeting: V-varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

V-varen Nagasaki score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Vissel Kobe score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
V-varen Nagasaki	1.4	1.6	2	10/15	9/15
Vissel Kobe	1.2	1.3	5	6/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

V-varen Nagasaki sit 16th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Vissel Kobe sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Vissel Kobe	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
16	V-varen Nagasaki	3	1	0	2	4	6	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for V-varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe?: The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for V-varen Nagasaki.
Where and when is V-varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe played?: V-varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe is played on April 17, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.