Where and when is Marlow vs Hayes & Yeading United played?

Marlow vs Hayes & Yeading United is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Alfred Davis Memorial Ground, in the FA Trophy.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Marlow vs Hayes & Yeading United: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Alfred Davis Memorial Ground, Marlow, Buckinghamshire

Marlow

Hayes & Yeading United

The Footlab model makes Marlow the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Hayes & Yeading United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marlow vs Hayes & Yeading United?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Marlow (1,587) and Hayes & Yeading United (1,649).

Marlow win39 %

Draw25 %

Hayes & Yeading United win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marlow have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Hayes & Yeading United have 6, 0 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marlow
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 18, 2026	Ashford Town (Middlesex)(home)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 18, 2026	Enfield 1893(home)	2-3	Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 11, 2026	Hertford Town(home)	3-1	Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 6, 2026	Flackwell Heath(away)	3-2	Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 3, 2026	AFC Dunstable(home)	4-0	Non League Div One - Southern Central

Hayes & Yeading United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Hartley Wintney(home)	0-3	Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Apr 18, 2026	Littlehampton Town(away)	1-0	Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Apr 11, 2026	Hanworth Villa(home)	1-3	Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Apr 6, 2026	Southall(away)	1-2	Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Apr 4, 2026	Moneyfields(home)	0-1	Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central

How many goals should we expect?

Marlow score 2.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hayes & Yeading United score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Marlow	2.1	2.0	4	10/15	13/15
Hayes & Yeading United	1.3	1.9	1	10/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marlow vs Hayes & Yeading United?: The Footlab model makes Marlow the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Hayes & Yeading United.
Where and when is Marlow vs Hayes & Yeading United played?: Marlow vs Hayes & Yeading United is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Alfred Davis Memorial Ground, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.