Match

Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 2Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Orange Vélodrome, Marseille

MarseilleOlympiakos Piraeus

The Footlab AI model makes Marseille the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Olympiakos Piraeus. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marseille wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?

On Elo ratings, Marseille has 2,067 points and Olympiakos Piraeus 2,191.

37%28%35%
Marseille winDrawOlympiakos Piraeus win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Marseille

4-2-3-1
  1. 9A. Gouiri
  1. 8H. Abdelli
  2. 77A. Harit
  3. 7A. Gomes
  4. 14Igor Paixão
  5. 48K. Abdallah
  1. 4C. Egan-Riley
  2. 33Emerson
  3. 22T. Weah
  4. 21N. Aguerd
  1. 12J. de Lange

Known absences

  • D. CorneliusOut · Hip injury
  • P. HøjbjergOut · Muscle injury

Olympiakos Piraeus

4-2-3-1
  1. 34A. González
  1. 20Jota Silva
  2. 22Chiquinho
  3. 19R. Freuler
  4. 7K. Fortounis
  5. 15G. Puerta
  1. 45P. Retsos
  2. 5L. Pirola
  3. 2M. Saliakas
  4. 71N. Tiknizyan
  1. 1S. Ortega

Known absences

  • A. El KaabiOut · Fracture
  • B. PopovićOut · Off the roster
  • ClaytonOut · Off the roster
  • L. ScipioniOut · Off the roster
  • Y. YazıcıOut · Knee injury

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:14 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marseille have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Olympiakos Piraeus have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marseille
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Estac Troyes(away)2-0Ligue 1
Sep 20, 2026Paris Saint Germain(home)1-2Ligue 1
Sep 17, 2026Beşiktaş(away)1-4UEFA Europa League
Sep 11, 2026Rennes(away)0-1Ligue 1
Sep 6, 2026Paris FC(home)2-3Ligue 1
Olympiakos Piraeus
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Panathinaikos(home)1-0Super League 1
Sep 20, 2026Levadiakos(away)1-0Super League 1
Sep 16, 2026Jagiellonia(home)2-1UEFA Europa League
Sep 12, 2026OFI(home)0-1Super League 1
Sep 8, 2026Volos NFC(home)3-2Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Marseille wins, 0 draws, 2 Olympiakos Piraeus wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 1, 2020Marseille 2-1 Olympiakos PiraeusUEFA Champions League
Oct 21, 2020Olympiakos Piraeus 1-0 MarseilleUEFA Champions League
Nov 23, 2011Marseille 0-1 Olympiakos PiraeusUEFA Champions League
Sep 13, 2011Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1 MarseilleUEFA Champions League

Last archived meeting: Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus on Dec 1, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Marseille score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Olympiakos Piraeus score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Marseille1.41.538/159/15
Olympiakos Piraeus1.31.066/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Marseille sit 32nd in UEFA Europa League (0 points from 1 match) and Olympiakos Piraeus sit 13th (3 points from 1 match).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Olympiakos Piraeus1100213
32Marseille1001140

A question about Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
The Footlab AI model makes Marseille the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Olympiakos Piraeus.
Where and when is Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus played?
Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus is played on October 15, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Orange Vélodrome, in the UEFA Europa League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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