Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Romano, Mérida
The Footlab AI model makes Mérida AD the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Athletic Club II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mérida AD wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,542 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Mérida AD (1,899) and Athletic Club II (1,931).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mérida AD
4-3-3- 24L. Koné
- 21Raúl Beneit
- 11S. El Ftouhi
- 6Jota
- 8Martín Solar
- 7J. Areso
- 4Gonzalez Nacho
- 5Hugo Sanz
- 14Hugo
- 20Barbu
- 1A. Csenterics
Athletic Club II
4-3-3- 6Eñaut Lete
- 19I. Oyono
- 22C. Mitogo
- 23J. Sola
- 8Adrian Perez
- 16S. Sanchez
- 15B. Larrea
- 28I. El Arbaoui
- 5Iker Monreal
- 2D. Perez
- 13Mikel Santos
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 05:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mérida AD have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Athletic Club II have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arenas Getxo(away) | 4-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pontevedra(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cacereño(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cacereño(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Unión(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Extremadura 1924(home) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Mérida AD wins, 1 draw, 1 Athletic Club II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Athletic Club II 1-1 Mérida AD | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Mérida AD 2-3 Athletic Club II | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Athletic Club II vs Mérida AD on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mérida AD score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Athletic Club II score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mérida AD | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Athletic Club II | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mérida AD sit 12th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (13 points from 10 matches) and Athletic Club II sit 6th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Athletic Club II | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 15 |
| 12 | Mérida AD | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 13 |
A question about Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mérida AD the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Athletic Club II.
- Where and when is Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II played?
- Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:15 PM (UTC) at Estadio Romano, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.