Midland vs Chacarita Juniors: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ferrocarril Midland, Libertad, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Midland the favourite at 69%, against 23% for a draw and 8% for Chacarita Juniors. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Midland vs Chacarita Juniors?
Midland starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,841 vs 1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Midland have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Chacarita Juniors have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Banfield(away) | 2-2 | Copa Argentina |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Acassuso(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Deportivo Maipu(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Almagro(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Patronato(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | San Martin Tucuman(home) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CA Estudiantes(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atletico DE Rafaela(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Agropecuario(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Midland win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Chacarita Juniors win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Chacarita Juniors 1-0 Midland | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Chacarita Juniors vs Midland on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Midland score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Chacarita Juniors score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midland | 1.3 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Chacarita Juniors | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Midland sit 5th in Primera Nacional (38 points from 24 matches) and Chacarita Juniors sit 16th (27 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Midland | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 17 | 38 |
| 16 | Chacarita Juniors | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 26 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Midland vs Chacarita Juniors?
- The Footlab model makes Midland the favourite at 69%, against 23% for a draw and 8% for Chacarita Juniors.
- Where and when is Midland vs Chacarita Juniors played?
- Midland vs Chacarita Juniors is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ferrocarril Midland, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.