Match

Monaco vs SC Freiburg: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 2Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Louis-II, Monaco

MonacoSC Freiburg

The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Monaco. The most likely score is 1-1. If SC Freiburg wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Monaco vs SC Freiburg?

A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Monaco (2,171) and SC Freiburg (2,239).

34%26%40%
Monaco winDrawSC Freiburg win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Monaco vs SC Freiburg

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Monaco

4-4-2
  1. 29Paris Josua Brunner
  2. 31Ansu Fati
  1. 8L. Camara
  2. 37E. Diop
  3. 17S. Idumbo-Muzambo
  4. 18T. Minamino
  1. 72Sadibou Sané
  2. 13C. Mawissa Elebi
  3. 4J. Teze
  4. 22M. Salisu
  1. 1L. Hrádecký

SC Freiburg

4-2-3-1
  1. 9L. Höler
  1. 8M. Eggestein
  2. 14Y. Suzuki
  3. 22Cyriaque Kalou Irié
  4. 32V. Grifo
  5. 6P. Osterhage
  1. 28M. Ginter
  2. 37M. Rosenfelder
  3. 30C. Günter
  4. 17L. Kübler
  1. 1M. Backhaus

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monaco have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; SC Freiburg have 13, 1 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Monaco
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 15, 2026CSKA Sofia(away)2-1UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 10, 2026Toulouse(home)2-2Ligue 1
Sep 18, 2026Lens(home)2-1Ligue 1
Sep 12, 2026Strasbourg(away)1-1Ligue 1
Sep 4, 2026Paris Saint Germain(away)2-1Ligue 1
SC Freiburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 15, 2026FK Jablonec(home)3-2UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 11, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)2-1Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026FC Luzern(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(away)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)5-0Bundesliga

How many goals should we expect?

Monaco score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SC Freiburg score 3.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Monaco2.01.3310/159/15
SC Freiburg3.01.1410/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Monaco sit 9th in UEFA Europa Conference League (3 points from 1 match) and SC Freiburg sit 7th (3 points from 1 match).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7SC Freiburg1100323
9Monaco1100213

A question about Monaco vs SC Freiburg?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Monaco vs SC Freiburg?
The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Monaco.
Where and when is Monaco vs SC Freiburg played?
Monaco vs SC Freiburg is played on October 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Louis-II, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Monaco and SC Freiburg

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