Where and when is Morpeth Town vs Witton Albion played?

Morpeth Town vs Witton Albion is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Craik Park, in the FA Trophy.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Morpeth Town vs Witton Albion: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Craik Park, Morpeth, Northumberland

Morpeth Town

Witton Albion

The Footlab model makes Morpeth Town the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Witton Albion. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Morpeth Town vs Witton Albion?

A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Morpeth Town (1,692) and Witton Albion (1,737).

Morpeth Town win39 %

Draw25 %

Witton Albion win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Morpeth Town have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Witton Albion have 9, 0 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Morpeth Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Warrington Town(home)	2-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Apr 18, 2026	Rushall Olympic(away)	0-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Apr 11, 2026	Hednesford Town(away)	0-4	Non League Premier - Northern
Apr 6, 2026	Whitby Town(home)	3-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Apr 3, 2026	Lancaster City(away)	0-3	Non League Premier - Northern

Witton Albion
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 11, 2026	Crewe(home)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Sporting Khalsa(home)	2-1	Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 18, 2026	Bury(away)	1-4	Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 11, 2026	Congleton Town(home)	3-2	Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 6, 2026	Nantwich Town(away)	4-0	Non League Div One - Northern West

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Morpeth Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Witton Albion win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 13, 2025	Morpeth Town 2-1 Witton Albion	FA Cup
Apr 5, 2022	Witton Albion 3-2 Morpeth Town	Non League Premier - Northern
Sep 11, 2021	Morpeth Town 1-2 Witton Albion	Non League Premier - Northern
Mar 7, 2020	Morpeth Town 3-2 Witton Albion	Non League Premier - Northern

Last archived meeting: Morpeth Town vs Witton Albion on Sep 13, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Morpeth Town score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Witton Albion score 2.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Morpeth Town	0.8	1.3	5	3/15	5/15
Witton Albion	2.1	1.8	4	11/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Morpeth Town vs Witton Albion?: The Footlab model makes Morpeth Town the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Witton Albion.
Where and when is Morpeth Town vs Witton Albion played?: Morpeth Town vs Witton Albion is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Craik Park, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.